{"id":904,"date":"2011-03-07T14:36:26","date_gmt":"2011-03-07T14:36:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/gold-silver.biz\/sk\/?p=904"},"modified":"2011-03-07T21:09:06","modified_gmt":"2011-03-07T21:09:06","slug":"grecku-padol-rating-riziko-bankrotu-rastie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/grecku-padol-rating-riziko-bankrotu-rastie\/","title":{"rendered":"Gr\u00e9cku padol rating. Riziko bankrotu rastie"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/span>Moody’s dnes zn\u00ed\u017eila hlavn\u00fd rating Gr\u00e9cka na stupe\u0148 B1 z doteraj\u0161ej zn\u00e1mky Ba1.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"Gr\u00e9ckyTak\u00fato \u00farove\u0148 m\u00e1 napr\u00edklad Bielorusko alebo Bol\u00edvia. V\u00fdh\u013ead je pritom negat\u00edvny, \u010do znamen\u00e1, \u017ee agent\u00fara k \u010fal\u0161iemu zn\u00ed\u017eeniu ratingu e\u0161te m\u00f4\u017ee siahnu\u0165.\u00a0 Agent\u00fara uviedla, \u017ee s pl\u00e1nom fi\u0161k\u00e1lnych reforiem v Gr\u00e9cku je spojen\u00e9 zna\u010dn\u00e9 riziko a je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee krajina po roku 2013 nebude plni\u0165 krit\u00e9ri\u00e1 solventnosti. Gr\u00e9cka vl\u00e1da (na sn\u00edmke premi\u00e9r George Papandreou) na krok agent\u00fary zareagovala ve\u013emi podr\u00e1\u017edene. <\/em><\/p>\n

Bankrot sa len pos\u00fava<\/strong>
\n<\/em><\/p>\n

„Opatrenia pre fi\u0161k\u00e1lnu konsolid\u00e1ciu a \u0161truktur\u00e1lne reformy, ktor\u00e9 s\u00fa nutn\u00e9 k stabiliz\u00e1cii dlhov\u00fdch parametrov krajiny, zost\u00e1vaj\u00fa ve\u013emi ambici\u00f3zne a podliehaj\u00fa vysok\u00e9mu riziku pri zav\u00e1dzan\u00ed t\u00fdchto krokov,<\/em>“ uviedla agent\u00fara v spr\u00e1ve k hodnoteniu Gr\u00e9cka.<\/p>\n

„Od za\u010diatku je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee Gr\u00e9cko zbankrotuje, preto\u017ee v jeho pr\u00edpade nejde o zakol\u00edsanie, ale o syst\u00e9mov\u00fa chybu v riaden\u00ed \u0161t\u00e1tu. Aktu\u00e1lne sa len od\u010fa\u013euje bankrot tak, aby sa banky, ktor\u00e9 vlastnia dlhopisy, vedeli na\u0148 pripravi\u0165,“<\/em> tvrd\u00ed Vladim\u00edr Ge\u0161per\u00edk zo spolo\u010dnosti Capital Markets. Predpoklad\u00e1, \u017ee pri re\u0161trukturaliz\u00e1cii bude Gr\u00e9cku odpusten\u00fdch 30 a\u017e 40% dlhu.<\/p>\n

„Mo\u017eno u\u017e nie sme \u010faleko od d\u0148a, ke\u010f skuto\u010dne nebude in\u00e9 rie\u0161enie, ne\u017e vyd\u00e1va\u0165 celoeur\u00f3pske dlhopisy, preto\u017ee ochota po\u017ei\u010da\u0165 Gr\u00e9cku klesne na nulu. Na dne\u0161nom zhor\u0161en\u00ed ratingu je pikantn\u00e9 to, \u017ee Gr\u00e9cko sa u\u017e dostalo medzi tzv. \u0161pekulat\u00edvne krajiny, \u010do ukazuje, ak\u00e1 je euroz\u00f3na prehnit\u00e1.\u00a0Diskusie\u00a0o tom, \u017ee sa euroz\u00f3na rozpadne, bud\u00fa e\u0161te intent\u00edvnej\u0161ie,<\/em>“ tvrd\u00ed analytik Next Finance Vladimir Pikora.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Euro\u00a0sa dopoludnia zotavilo zo str\u00e1t, ktor\u00e9 mu sp\u00f4sobilo zn\u00ed\u017eenie ratingu Gr\u00e9cka a vr\u00e1tilo sa k rastu. Vyst\u00fapilo tak nad psychologicky v\u00fdznamn\u00fa hranicu 1,40 dol\u00e1ra, kde bolo naposledy pred \u0161tyrmi mesiacmi. „Dne\u0161n\u00e9 posilnenie eura rozhodne nie je racion\u00e1lne a nevydr\u017e\u00ed dlho. Naopak, dlhodobo bude predl\u017een\u00fd juh Eur\u00f3py euro torp\u00e9dova\u0165,<\/em>“ dod\u00e1va Pikora.<\/p>\n

Rizikov\u00e1 pr\u00e9mia, ktor\u00fa je nutn\u00e9 zaplati\u0165 pri dlhopisoch gr\u00e9ckej vl\u00e1dy s desa\u0165ro\u010dnou splatnos\u0165ou v porovnan\u00ed s dlhopismi nemeckej vl\u00e1dy, sa zv\u00fd\u0161ila o osem b\u00e1zick\u00fdch bodov na 9,13 percenta.<\/p>\n

Ministerstvo sa br\u00e1ni<\/strong><\/p>\n

„Zn\u00ed\u017eenie ratingu, ktor\u00e9 dnes ozn\u00e1mila agent\u00fara Moody\u00b4s, je \u00faplne neopodstatnen\u00e9 a neodr\u00e1\u017ea objekt\u00edvne a vyrovnan\u00e9 hodnotenie\u00a0podmienok, ktor\u00fdm agent\u00fara \u010del\u00ed,“<\/em> reagovalo gr\u00e9cke ministerstvo financi\u00ed. Krok agent\u00fary je pod\u013ea \u00faradu naopak d\u00f4kazom, \u017ee ratingov\u00e9 agent\u00fary nec\u00edtia \u017eiadnu zodpovednos\u0165 a odvetvie poskytovania ratingu je z toho d\u00f4vodu nutn\u00e9 pr\u00edsne regulova\u0165. Moody\u00b4s vraj neberie do \u00favahy podporu, ktor\u00fa euroz\u00f3na poskytuje krajin\u00e1m s dlhov\u00fdmi probl\u00e9mami.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Riziko pod\u013ea ratingovej agent\u00fary spo\u010d\u00edva predov\u0161etk\u00fdm v tom, \u017ee Gr\u00e9cko nebude schopn\u00e9 vybra\u0165 na daniach to\u013eko, ko\u013eko si predstavovalo. To by mohlo pl\u00e1n vl\u00e1dy na ozdravenie verejn\u00fdch financi\u00ed zna\u010dne skomplikova\u0165 a sp\u00f4sobi\u0165, \u017ee sa Gr\u00e9cko nevyhne re\u0161trukturaliz\u00e1cii \u0161t\u00e1tneho dlhu. „V \u010dase, ke\u010f je glob\u00e1lna\u00a0ekonomika\u00a0e\u0161te krehk\u00e1 a\u00a0trhy citlivo reaguj\u00fa, m\u00f4\u017eu nerovnov\u00e1\u017ene a neopodstatnen\u00e9 rozhodnutia o zmene ratingu ako napr\u00edklad to, ktor\u00e9 ozn\u00e1mila agent\u00fara Moody\u00b4s, iniciova\u0165 \u0161kodliv\u00e9 proroctvo, ktor\u00e9 sa vypln\u00ed. Posil\u0148uje to argumenty, ktor\u00e9 volaj\u00fa po pr\u00edsnej\u0161ej regul\u00e1cii samotn\u00fdch ratingov\u00fdch agent\u00far,“<\/em> dodalo gr\u00e9cke ministerstvo.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Moody’s m\u00e1 teraz pre hodnotenie z\u00e1v\u00e4zkov Gr\u00e9cka najni\u017e\u0161\u00ed rating zo v\u0161etk\u00fdch troch hlavn\u00fdch agent\u00far a je prvou, ktor\u00e1 hodnot\u00ed z\u00e1v\u00e4zky Gr\u00e9cka ako vysoko \u0161pekulat\u00edvne. O riadok ni\u017e\u0161ie m\u00e1 u\u017e sadu zn\u00e1mok, ktor\u00fdmi hodnot\u00ed krajiny a podniky, ktor\u00e9 s\u00fa tesne pred bankrotom.<\/p>\n

Gr\u00e9cko<\/strong> sa vlani stalo prvou krajinou euroz\u00f3ny, ktor\u00e1 po\u017eiadala o pomoc ostatn\u00e9 \u010dlensk\u00e9 krajiny a Medzin\u00e1rodn\u00fd menov\u00fd fond. At\u00e9ny teraz \u010derpaj\u00fa trojro\u010dn\u00fd \u00faver v objeme 110 mili\u00e1rd eur. Pred jeho prijat\u00edm v\u0161ak Gr\u00e9cko muselo s\u013e\u00fabi\u0165 rozsiahle reformy a zn\u00ed\u017eenie v\u00fddavkov.<\/p>\n

<\/span>Niektor\u00ed analytici o Gr\u00e9cku hovoria ako o hlavnom kandid\u00e1tovi na odchod z euroz\u00f3ny a pr\u00edpadne aj na uverejnen\u00ed platobnej neschopnosti. Tak\u00fdto scen\u00e1r svoj\u00edm koment\u00e1rom teraz podporila aj Moody’s, aj ke\u010f Gr\u00e9cko tak\u00e9to \u00favahy odmieta. Pod\u013ea Moody’s je dokonca mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee Gr\u00e9cko sa rozhodne vymeni\u0165 dlhopisy u\u017e pred rokom 2013, ke\u010f prestane \u010derpa\u0165 medzin\u00e1rodn\u00fa finan\u010dn\u00fa pomoc.<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/span>Autor: TASR \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0Zdroj:finweb.hnonline.sk<\/a><\/p>\n


\n<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Moody’s dnes zn\u00ed\u017eila hlavn\u00fd rating Gr\u00e9cka na stupe\u0148 B1 z doteraj\u0161ej zn\u00e1mky Ba1. Tak\u00fato \u00farove\u0148 m\u00e1 napr\u00edklad Bielorusko alebo Bol\u00edvia. V\u00fdh\u013ead je pritom negat\u00edvny, \u010do znamen\u00e1, \u017ee agent\u00fara k \u010fal\u0161iemu … <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/904"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=904"}],"version-history":[{"count":13,"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/904\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":945,"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/904\/revisions\/945"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=904"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=904"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=904"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}