{"id":599,"date":"2011-02-04T09:31:09","date_gmt":"2011-02-04T09:31:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/gold-silver.biz\/sk\/?p=599"},"modified":"2011-02-07T09:47:39","modified_gmt":"2011-02-07T09:47:39","slug":"prichadza-cas-zlata-komentar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/prichadza-cas-zlata-komentar\/","title":{"rendered":"Prich\u00e1dza \u010das zlata? (koment\u00e1r)"},"content":{"rendered":"

Zlato aj striebro sa prelomili z klesaj\u00facich kan\u00e1lov. Nast\u00e1va na trhu cenn\u00fdch kovov obrat?<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"zlato_tehli\u010dky\"Zlato po\u010das janu\u00e1ra stratilo takmer 8% a striebro skoro dvojn\u00e1sobok. Skuto\u010dne, aj pri poh\u013eade na graf sa zd\u00e1, \u017ee za\u010d\u00edna v\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00ed pokles t\u00fdchto drah\u00fdch kovov. Aby sme boli presn\u00ed, zdalo sa, do v\u010dera, ke\u010f sa situ\u00e1cia na drah\u00fdch kovoch zmenila. Zlato ako aj striebro potvrdili prelomenie zo svojich klesaj\u00facich kan\u00e1lov. Vyn\u00e1ra sa ot\u00e1zka: nast\u00e1va na trhu cenn\u00fdch kovov obrat?<\/p>\n

Pr\u00edbeh 1<\/strong><\/p>\n

Vo \u0161tvrtok o 17:45 nastal na trhu zlata zlom. Ani nie do hodiny zlato z\u00edskalo 20 dol\u00e1rov a posunulo sa nad svoju siln\u00fa rezistenciu 1350 dol\u00e1rov. T\u00fdmto pohybom sa nielen vymanilo z klesaj\u00faceho kan\u00e1la ale zanechalo za sebou form\u00e1ciu hlavy a ramien nazna\u010duj\u00facu v\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00ed obrat. Pokia\u013e sa zlato dok\u00e1\u017ee usadi\u0165 nad \u00farov\u0148ou 1360 dol\u00e1rov, m\u00e1 \u0161ancu na dlh\u00fd pohyb dohora.<\/p>\n

\u010co v\u0161ak bolo d\u00f4vodom jeho prudk\u00e9ho rastu? Pod\u013ea Credit Suisse boli za 5 min\u00fat na trhu k\u00fapen\u00e9 kontrakty futures na zlato v objeme 2,5-3 miliardy dol\u00e1rov. Pod\u013ea neofici\u00e1lnych inform\u00e1ci\u00ed Hnutie moslimsk\u00e9ho bratstva \u00a0ozn\u00e1milo pl\u00e1ny, \u017ee pokia\u013e sa v Egypte dostane k moci, tak odst\u00fapi od dohody s Izraelom.<\/p>\n

Pr\u00edbeh 2<\/strong><\/p>\n

Eric King uv\u00e1dza vo svojom poslednom interview s Danom Norcinim, ktor\u00fd u\u017e dve desiatky rokov p\u00f4sob\u00ed ako trader na \u00e1zijsk\u00fdch komoditn\u00fdch trhoch, nasleduj\u00face zauj\u00edmav\u00e9 fakty:<\/p>\n

„Pod\u013ea jedn\u00e9ho zo senior bank\u00e1rov v Hong Kongu sa odhaduje, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna za posledn\u00e9 3 mesiace nak\u00fapila ohromn\u00fdch 200 ton zlata. Je o\u010dividn\u00e9, \u017ee sa na trhu nach\u00e1dza ve\u013ek\u00fd n\u00e1kupca pri poklese zlata k \u00farovni 1300 dol\u00e1rov. Toto vysvet\u013euje, pre\u010do obrovsk\u00fd prepad otvoren\u00e9ho z\u00e1ujmu o kontrakty futures (open interest) sp\u00f4sobil iba mal\u00fd pokles ceny. Cena sa od za\u010diatku roka zn\u00ed\u017eila iba o 6%, pri\u010dom OI klesol o 30%. Be\u017ene tak\u00e1 obrovsk\u00e1 likvid\u00e1cia kr\u00e1tkych poz\u00edci\u00ed znamen\u00e1 omnoho v\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00ed prepad ceny. V tomto pr\u00edpade sa v\u0161ak prepad nekonal, \u010do d\u00e1va tu\u0161i\u0165 pr\u00edtomnos\u0165 siln\u00e9ho hr\u00e1\u010da.“ S ve\u013ekou pravdepodobnos\u0165ou ide o \u010c\u00ednu.<\/p>\n

Pr\u00edbeh 3<\/strong><\/p>\n

Po\u010das stredy sa na decembrov\u00fdch kontraktoch zlata pri strike cene 1800 objavil mohutn\u00fd z\u00e1ujem o n\u00e1kup CALL opci\u00ed. Cena tak\u00fdchto opci\u00ed je zhruba 20 dol\u00e1rov na jednu uncu zlata. Znamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee nakupuj\u00faci ve\u013emi lacno kupuj\u00fa pravdepodobnos\u0165, \u017ee pokia\u013e sa bude cena zlata obchodova\u0165 nad \u00farov\u0148ou 1800 dol\u00e1rov, tak cel\u00fd profit nad touto \u00farov\u0148ou z\u00edskaj\u00fa vo svoj prospech.<\/p>\n

Otvoren\u00fd objem v t\u00fdchto opci\u00e1ch je neuverite\u013en\u00fdch 34,000 kontraktov. Probl\u00e9mom v\u0161ak je, \u017ee neexistuj\u00fa prirodzen\u00ed pred\u00e1vaj\u00faci t\u00fdchto opci\u00ed a predajcami sa tak stali market-makeri. Znamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee pokia\u013e by cena za\u010dala r\u00e1s\u0165, tak \u010d\u00edm vy\u0161\u0161ie ide, t\u00fdm r\u00fdchlej\u0161ie rastie.<\/p>\n

Graf<\/strong><\/p>\n

S\u00fa traderi, ktor\u00ed sa vedia s grafmi skuto\u010dne vyhra\u0165….<\/p>\n

\"graf_zlato\"<\/p>\n

Autor:\u00a0Ronald I\u017eip\u00a0analytik Trim Broker\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0Zdroj: finweb.hnonline.sk<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Zlato aj striebro sa prelomili z klesaj\u00facich kan\u00e1lov. Nast\u00e1va na trhu cenn\u00fdch kovov obrat? Zlato po\u010das janu\u00e1ra stratilo takmer 8% a striebro skoro dvojn\u00e1sobok. Skuto\u010dne, aj pri poh\u013eade na graf … <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/599"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=599"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/599\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":604,"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/599\/revisions\/604"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=599"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=599"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=599"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}