Odhadova\u0165 v\u00fdvoj cien nehnute\u013enost\u00ed je na Slovensku probl\u00e9m. Vypl\u00fdva to z dvoch faktorov. Z \u013eud\u00ed a \u00fadajov. Nikto nie je dokonal\u00fd, m\u00fdli\u0165 sa m\u00f4\u017eu \u013eudia a pokrivk\u00e1vaj\u00facu v\u00fdpovedn\u00fa hodnotu maj\u00fa aj inform\u00e1cie o cen\u00e1ch nehnute\u013enost\u00ed.<\/p>\n
V\u00fdvoj na trhu odhaduj\u00fa dva typy \u013eud\u00ed: analytici a „reali\u0165\u00e1ci\u201c. Analytici vych\u00e1dzaj\u00fa zo svojich makro\u010d\u00edsel. S\u00fastre\u010fuj\u00fa sa napr\u00edklad na progn\u00f3zovan\u00fd ekonomick\u00fd rast, odhad nezamestnanosti, ve\u013ek\u00e9 investi\u010dn\u00e9 projekty a o\u010dak\u00e1van\u00e9 \u00faroky. Pozr\u00fa sa aj, ako sa vyv\u00edja z\u00e1ujem o hypot\u00e9ky v ich banke. Z mixu \u00fadajov im potom „vypadne\u201c, ako by sa mali spr\u00e1va\u0165 ceny nehnute\u013enost\u00ed. Nie v\u017edy sa potom odhady pretavia do skuto\u010dnosti.<\/p>\n
Druh\u00ed odhadcovia s\u00fa realitn\u00e9 spolo\u010dnosti a developeri. Hoci sa pri rad\u00e1ch o cen\u00e1ch tv\u00e1ria ako odborn\u00edci, ich odhady st\u00e1le sleduj\u00fa iba jeden cie\u013e. Navnadi\u0165 kupuj\u00facich, nev\u00e1ha\u0165 a investova\u0165. Je to logick\u00e9, ke\u010f\u017ee cie\u013eom podnikania je vytv\u00e1ra\u0165 zisk. Pri odhade pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00fa mantru: „Ceny nehnute\u013enost\u00ed bud\u00fa st\u00fapa\u0165, nanajv\u00fd\u0161 stagnova\u0165.\u201c Prv\u00fdkr\u00e1t sa k takmer sebapo\u0161kodzuj\u00facemu slovu stagnova\u0165 uch\u00fdlili v roku 2008, na za\u010diatku sp\u013easnutia dom\u00e1cej realitnej bubliny. Odvtedy ceny klesli o desiatky percent.<\/p>\n
Tret\u00edm faktorom s\u00fa \u00fadaje o cen\u00e1ch z trhu. Mohli by sme poveda\u0165, \u017ee lep\u0161ie nem\u00e1me, ale to nerie\u0161i ot\u00e1zny odraz reality. Ich prv\u00fdm neduhom je, \u017ee nejde o realiza\u010dn\u00e9 ceny zo zml\u00fav, ale o predstavy pred\u00e1vaj\u00facich zozbieran\u00e9 z inzer\u00e1tov.<\/p>\n
\u010eal\u0161\u00edm nedostatkom je najm\u00e4 v regi\u00f3noch s n\u00edzkou aktivitou na realitnom trhu, \u017ee ceny dok\u00e1\u017ee zdvihn\u00fa\u0165 pomaly jedna \u010derstvo odovzdan\u00e1 bytovka. Pri jej uveden\u00ed na trh krajsk\u00fd priemer st\u00fapne. Ak sa byty nepred\u00e1vaj\u00fa a developer ich zlacnie, priemer klesne.<\/p>\n
Na z\u00e1klade toho mo\u017eno pokojne kon\u0161tatova\u0165, \u017ee ceny bytov p\u00f4jdu e\u0161te dole, pr\u00edpadne hore.<\/p>\n
Autor: Ivan Szab\u00f3 \u00a0 \u00a0 Zdroj: hnonline.sk<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Odhadova\u0165 v\u00fdvoj cien nehnute\u013enost\u00ed je na Slovensku probl\u00e9m. Vypl\u00fdva to z dvoch faktorov. Z \u013eud\u00ed a \u00fadajov. Nikto nie je dokonal\u00fd, m\u00fdli\u0165 sa m\u00f4\u017eu \u013eudia a pokrivk\u00e1vaj\u00facu v\u00fdpovedn\u00fa hodnotu maj\u00fa … <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/518"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=518"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/518\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":521,"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/518\/revisions\/521"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=518"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=518"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investicnyblog.sk\/gsi\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=518"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}